Russian political scientist and sociologist Greg Yudin provides three explanation why Putin will lose the battle. Two of them can’t be influenced by the Kremlin.
For Greg Yudin it’s clear that Russia will lose the battle. The professor of political philosophy on the Moscow College of Social and Financial Sciences makes three factors that he lists on Twitter.
First: the motivation. “The Russian military has no enterprise in Ukraine. No quantity of conscripts will clear up this downside. Quite the opposite, it is going to solely make issues worse as a result of every subsequent group is much less motivated than the earlier one,” he writes. And Russia’s youth have gotten an issue for Putin. “Russian youth are skeptical about this battle and can more and more reject it.”
Yudin’s second argument: The Russian military “is simply too hierarchical and corrupt. Changing one butcher (sic) with one other in army management is not going to change that. The Russian army is constructed on contempt for troopers’ lives and suppressing their initiative, as a result of Putin’s state is constructed on the identical ideas. With a purpose to restore the military, the state should be modified,” the political science professor analyses.
And third, Russia is coping with “a coalition that has nearly limitless sources at its disposal.” Ukraine will “by no means cease combating as a result of Putin portrays the battle as a battle of genocide. The query is whether or not Ukraine has the means to take action.”
That is presently “Putin’s solely hope. Blackmail with nuclear weapons, vitality or grain, divisions in Europe and the USA – the coalition is meant to interrupt all this.”
For Yudin, who primarily researches the political idea of democracy, one factor is obvious: “Putin is just not invincible. He can be totally defeated, and pretty quickly. Except some helpful idiots soar in to save lots of him.”